Polls: Abadi first, then Sadr and Amiri and 20 seats for the owners only
The newspaper “Al-Arab” published on Saturday a report on a poll conducted by Iraqi Marqaza, the results showed that the street supports in the first place the alliance of victory led by the current Prime Minister Haider Abadi, followed by a coalition of others Supported by the leader of the Sadrist movement Moqtada al-Sadr, and in third place the alliance led by the Secretary General of the Badr Organization Hadi al-Amiri, while indicated that the least support in the street will be the share of the list of the coalition of state law Nuri al-Maliki.
The newspaper said in its report that “the Iraqi capital Baghdad is witnessing the publication of the results of opinion polls on the results of the general elections scheduled in May, mostly for the benefit of Iraqi Prime Minister Haider Abadi.
The “Iraqi Ideas” and “Strategic and International Studies” published the results of two surveys, including the first
A sample, while the second did not disclose details in this area, but they agreed to list
“Victory”, led by Abadi will win a comfortable election, according to the newspaper.
Al-Abbadi won the support of 15 percent of the respondents, while the list supported by Moqtada al-Sadr came in second place. , And the alliance, “open” led by Hadi Amiri,
The survey by the Center for Strategic and International Studies was more detailed in terms of the results. “Abadi will get seats between 72 and 78, while Vice President Nuri al-Maliki will get about 20 seats.” Optimists who are close to Abadi, who believe that the prime minister will reap 60 seats in the next parliament.
According to the newspaper, “opponents of Abadi and his rivals are skeptical of these results, and say that it is part of his campaign propaganda directed, but an official in the office Abadi denied any link to these centers.”
An official close to Abadi, according to the “Arabs” that “talk about the Prime Minister’s office of these surveys is lacking evidence,” noting that “these surveys published on websites in English, follow the centers of studies known, and you can verify them.”
Abadi needs to win a comfortable margin of seats from his closest rival, so that he can translate his ambition in the second term into reality. Opponents believe Ebadi that the results of at least three lists will be so close that it is difficult to talk about a winner in these elections, .
The competition is likely to focus on the first place between Abadi, Sadr and Amiri, while the coalition of the rule of law led by Nuri al-Maliki and the stream of wisdom led by Ammar al-Hakim in second place.
“The process of forming the next government will be difficult, because the winners of the elections will have their results are close,” says Naim al-Aboudi, a leader of the Fatah alliance.
The newspaper quoted Iraqi observers as saying that “Abadi, if he does not exceed the threshold of 50 seats in the 329-seat parliament, his chances in the second term will be limited.
Observers say the candidate, who holds the post of prime minister, has broad popular support in any election, as is the case with Iyad Allawi and Maliki in the past, “the tendency of Iraqis in general to vote for power,” which enhances the chances of Abadi in these elections.
Allawi and Maliki, who served as prime minister in Iraq, won more than one million votes in the 2010 elections, despite being nominated in one constituency, the Iraqi capital. But this is the first time that the Shiite election arena has seen so many leaders The contestants complicate the prediction process and open the door to a “close win” for the lists of Abbadi, Amiri and Sadr, according to the “Arabs”.
The Iraqi political observer said that “the results of these polls may not reflect a popular decision in a country where the likes of the likes of Iraq,” noting that “election propaganda has not yet begun, and that when it begins there will be many images to change the trends of public opinion.” Source