Analysts at Bank of America told investors in a note Tuesday not to sell in May and go away as statistical data shows that presidential election years can see bug summer rallies.
“[The] S&P 500 (SPX) tends to have a summer rally, and Presidential election years can see big summer rallies,” said the bank.
Their analysis shows that June to August is the second strongest three-month period of the year for all years going back to 1928, with the S&P 500 up 65% of the time on an average return of 3.2%.
Meanwhile, in presidential election years, the S&P 500 is up 75% of the time from June to August on an average return of 7.3%.
Elsewhere in the wide-ranging note, the bank stated that they view the US high yield option-adjusted spread (OAS) as a leading indicator for the US equity market and yesterday’s move to “another new low within a cyclical lagging trend for this credit spread is a bullish leading indicator that supports the case for a 2024 summer rally on the SPX.”
https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/sp-500-dont-sell-in-may-and-go-away–bank-of-america-3424931
