US stocks kicked off 2024’s second quarter on wobbly feet Monday.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell 0.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell 0.4%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose slightly above the flatline. All three indexes moved lower from early-session gains.
Wall Street has begun 2024 on a high note: The benchmark S&P 500 has set 22 fresh closing records so far this year as part of its best first quarter since 2019. Meanwhile, all three major averages have now risen for five straight months.
Markets were closed Friday, but the week’s data highlight — the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index — served to boost hopes of rate cuts this year. That index contains “core” PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. The report showed core PCE rose 0.3% month over month, below economist expectations. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said Friday that the data was “along the lines” of what the Fed is looking for.
The data has given a boost to investor bets on a June rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch tool, around two-thirds of investors are pricing in a cut at the Fed’s June meeting, compared with about 55% last Thursday.
The highlight of Q2’s first week on the macroeconomic front is Friday’s jobs report, which will serve as another important signal to the Fed.
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