TNT Tuesday 7-9-2024

Tishwash: Al-Sudani receives a delegation from the US Department of Defense

The Prime Minister’s Media Office stated in a statement that “Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani received the US Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Middle Eastern Affairs, Daniel Shapiro, and his accompanying delegation, in the presence of the US Ambassador to Iraq.”

He added, “During the meeting, the procedures for proceeding with ending the mission of the international coalition to fight ISIS and activating bilateral relations between Iraq and the United States were discussed,” noting that “the meeting witnessed discussion of the situation in the region and the continued aggression on Gaza.”

Al-Sudani pointed to “the suffering of the Palestinian people, the difficulty of accessing humanitarian aid and relief supplies under the stifling siege, and the failure of the international community to assume its responsibilities in pressuring the Netanyahu government to stop the genocide.”

The Prime Minister stressed “the need for a firm stance against the aggression, and the necessity of preventing escalation that threatens to expand the scope of the conflict.”

For his part, the American official pointed out “the importance of Iraq’s role in reducing tensions in the region, and the inevitability of continuing the approach of communication and cooperation between the two countries in the areas of armament and security and raising the combat level of the Iraqi forces, in a way that supports Iraq’s security and sovereignty, economic development and progress at all levels.” link

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Tishwash: Politician: America is continuing the dollar chaos scenario in Iraq

Today, Monday, the leader in the coordination framework, Jabbar Odeh, accused America of repeating the dollar chaos scenario in Iraq.

Odeh said in an interview with Al-Maalouma, “Since 2003, America has sought to make Iraq’s economy hostage to the policies of the White House, and to use the dollar bill as a pressure tool to confront any movement outside the context of its interests in the region.”

He added, “The recent rise in the exchange rate is nothing but a scenario of chaos through pressure on the parallel market and raising exchange rates,” stressing that “Iraq’s economy will not be safe as long as Washington exploits oil revenues through the Federal Bank.”

He pointed out that “the statements of the new American ambassador carried three clear agendas in Baghdad, which are using the economic card, selling oil supplies, and trying to escalate the security situation and interfering in the country’s affairs,” adding that “Baghdad’s exit “From the pressure of the dollar will free the country from dangerous restrictions imposed by the White House administration.” For more than 20 years.”

It is noteworthy that the dollar exchange rates witnessed a noticeable increase, raising many question marks amid accusations that an American agenda is behind what is happening. link

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LouNDebNC: Stocks could fall 30% as US heads for a deep recession, analyst warns

Do you have a lot of your wealth tied in the stock market?

A new analyst note from BCA Research suggests the S&P 500 could slide as much as 30% within the next year as the U.S. economy enters a deep recession.

There may be trouble looming on the horizon for the U.S. stock market, according to BCA Research.

In a note to clients last week, BCA Research chief global strategist Peter Berezin warned that, contrary to popular belief, the economy will fall into a recession either this year or in early 2025.

Should that happen, the S&P 500 could tumble to 3,750, which marks a 30% drop from current levels.

Berezin’s prediction hinges on the belief that the labor market will slow notably in coming months, which will weigh heavily on consumer spending – a major driver of economic growth. The relationship between inflation and unemployment is measured by something called the “Phillips curve.”

“The reason the U.S. avoided a recession in 2022 and 2023 was because the economy was operating along the steep side of the Phillips curve,” he wrote. “When the labor supply curve is nearly vertical, weaker labor demand will mainly lead to lower wage growth and falling job openings. In other words, an immaculate disinflation.”

Berezin also foresees widespread economic pain, with growth slowing sharply in Europe and China. This scenario could further weaken global growth and weigh heavily on international stocks.

Stocks notched a new record in mid-May, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average topping 40,000 for the first time ever, but they have since fallen from those highs.

The indexes opened slipped Monday morning as investors await key jobs data from the Labor Department. The S&P benchmark was down about 12 points as of mid-morning.

The forecast from BCA Research – one of the gloomiest on Wall Street – comes after a volatile year for the market.

All three indexes tumbled in mid-2023 amid fears the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates higher than previously expected – and hold them at peak levels for longer. However, they have recouped those losses and more, with the S&P 500 up more than 29% since it hit bottom at the end of October.

Since the start of the year, the benchmark index is up about 15%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average has climbed 3.7%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, meanwhile, has increased about 20% year to date.

https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/stocks-could-fall-30-us-heads-painful-recession-analyst-warns

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