Analyst to XRP Holders: We’re Still Waiting for One of These Two to Happen

on April 17, 2026

Crypto analyst CasiTrades has provided an updated outlook on XRP, stating that the asset continues to trade below a critical resistance level after an extended period of consolidation.

According to the analyst, XRP has now spent 68 days ranging beneath resistance, with no significant shift in the broader market structure.

CasiTrades emphasized that despite the prolonged sideways movement, the macro outlook remains unchanged. The analyst shared an updated chart to reinforce the current positioning, noting that XRP continues to respect established technical boundaries. The post presents the situation as one of patience, with price action confined within a defined structure as it waits for a decisive move.

Critical Levels Define Market Direction

In the analysis shared on X, CasiTrades identified two primary scenarios that could determine XRP’s next major move. The first involves a potential decline toward macro support zones, specifically around $1.09 and $0.87. These levels correspond to key Fibonacci retracement zones and are presented as strong areas where buyers may re-enter the market.

The second scenario requires XRP to break and hold the $1.65 level. According to the analyst, this level is a significant resistance point, and a successful move above it could shift the market structure into a more bullish phase. Until one of these outcomes occurs, the analyst maintains that the asset remains in a state of indecision.

The chart accompanying the post illustrates these zones clearly, showing how XRP has repeatedly failed to sustain momentum above resistance while also holding above lower support levels. This has resulted in continued consolidation, which the analyst describes as typical market behavior during periods of uncertainty.

Short-Term Range Reflects Market Indecision

Beyond the macro perspective, CasiTrades also addressed XRP’s short-term price action. The analyst pointed out that the asset is currently trading within a tighter local range, with support near $1.28 and resistance around $1.39. This narrower band reflects ongoing market hesitation, as neither buyers nor sellers have established clear control.

CasiTrades noted that a breakdown below the $1.28 level could lead to further downside, likely pushing XRP toward the previously identified macro support zones. Conversely, holding above this level keeps the current range intact, prolonging the consolidation.

The post characterizes the ongoing price action as continued “chop,” indicating a lack of clear directional momentum. This environment, according to the analyst, often tests market participants’ patience before a more definitive move occurs.

Market Awaits Decisive Break

CasiTrades concluded that XRP’s current behavior aligns with typical market cycles, where extended consolidation precedes larger price movements. The analysis suggests that traders should monitor the highlighted levels closely, as a breakout or breakdown from the current structure will likely set the tone for the next phase.

For now, XRP remains confined within its established range, with both bullish and bearish scenarios still in play. The coming sessions will determine whether the asset can overcome resistance or move toward deeper support, as outlined in the analyst’s framework.
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